Means and Ends

In regards to my post from earlier thinking about a novel tactic to use on businesses that post, it brings up the issue of means and ends. Saul Alinsky, the great leftist organizer of the 20th century, had so much to say on means and ends that he wrote a whole chapter in Rules for Radicals about it. Alinsky was certainly not an advocate of any means justifying any end, but that activists who wished to organize for mass power had to think about means and ends in a realistic and pragmatic manner, and whether the means available were worth a specific end. In many cases he was brutal toward those who fretted over means and ends to the degree of paralyzation:

Whenever we think of social change, the question of means and ends arises. The man of action views the issue of means and ends in pragmatic and strategic terms. He has no other problem; he thinks only of his actual resources and the possibilities of various choices of action. He asks of ends only whether they are achievable and worth the cost; of means, only whether they will work. To say that corrupt means corrupt the ends is to believe in the immaculate conception of ends and principles. The real arena is corrupt and bloody. Life is a corrupting process from the time a child learns to play his mother off against his father in the politics of when to go to bed; he who fears corruption fears life.

Alinsky’s examples are difficult, from the options available to those who resisted the Nazis, to our founding fathers in separating from England, to Lincoln’s prosecution of the civil war and the freeing of the slaves, all of which involved an amount of deception and deceit and unscrupulous means. He also relays some of his own experience:

To me ethics is doing what is best for the most. During a conflict with a major corporation I was confronted with a threat of public exposure of a photograph of a motel “Mr. & Mrs.” registration and photographs of my girl and myself. I said, “Go ahead and give it to the press. I think she’s beautiful and I have never claimed to be celibate. Go Ahead!” That ended the threat.

Almost on the heels of this encounter, one of the corporation’s minor executives came to see me. It turned out that he was a secret sympathizer with our side. Pointing to his briefcase, he said “In there is plenty of proof that so and so [leader of the opposition] prefers boys to girls.” I said, “Thanks, but forget it. I don’t fight that way. I don’t want to see it. Goodbye.” He protested, “But they just tried to hang you on that girl.” I replied, “The fact that they fight that way doesn’t mean I have to do it. To me, dragging a person’s private life into this muck is loathsome and nauseous.” He left.

So far, so noble; but, if I had been convinced that the only way we could win was to use it, then without any reservations I would have used it. What was my alternative? To draw myself up into righteous “moral” indignation saying, “I would rather lose than corrupt my principles,” and then go home with my ethical hymen intact? The fact that 40,000 poor would lose their war against hopelessness and despair was just too tragic.

I have never been an advocate of making a political struggle personal, and I believe in offering the anti-gun people dignity and respect, as fellow citizens, provided the same courtesy is paid in return. But I also see Alinsky’s point about ends and means, and it’s important to remember that this is a struggle to hold government and society to the values enshrined in our Bill of Rights against people who want to destroy them. Neither side is going to come out morally clean out of this. Not us, not them.

NRA sending Mary McFate to spy on the Brady Campaign was hardly a paragon of ethics and virtue, but was it the only means available to find out their legislative plans so we could be prepared to counter them? Politics and activism are not an ethical game. It is a dirty, underhanded game. You can not struggle in this arena and come out clean, and at the same time be effective. We must always be searching for novel ideas. Not all of those ideas will be good. Some might even be bad. But the proper frame of argument is whether the tactic will work, and whether the ends are worth it.

Canada Moving Closer to Registry Repeal

It’s passed second reading by a vote of 164 to 137, a margin of 27 votes. As Dave Kopel points out, that means that 20 members of the other party have joined conservatives in voting this way.

This is very positive. Very positive. It’s one of the only other countries turning back gun control currently, and we’ve had a rough time on the international front.

NRA Reaction to Election 2009

Landslide. For the record, I probably went a little easy on the Bradys in agreement that the election wasn’t about guns. That’s not entirely true. A reader pointed out that guns were most definitely an issue in the Virginia Attorney General’s race, with Democrats running ads like this against Ken Cuccinelli, in addition to a TV spot showing here:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQ7_s06LKJk[/youtube]

If this race wasn’t about guns, it wasn’t for the Democrat’s lack of trying. Ken Cuccinelli won the Attorney General race by a 15 point margin over Democrat Steve Shannon. While we can’t take credit for all that margin, we are no doubt a nice chunk of it. This shows that Democrats can’t make a winning issue out of guns. Corzine also beat on the gun control drum, and it didn’t save him either.  If that’s the case, why do they bother? Increasingly they don’t, and that has to scare the Brady folks, no matter what their public rhetoric says.

How the GOP Fared in the Collar Counties

John Micek covers the results of the elections in Pennsylvania last night:

We sat down and took a look at the electoral map this morning, and there’s some portents in there that should make Democrats very nervous indeed.

Despite a massive statewide voter registration edge, Republicans ultimately proved more motivated than Democrats last night. GOP voters turned out in droves in the allegedly blue Philadelphia suburbs.

Orie Melvin carried three of the four collar counties, picking up monster wins in Delaware County (56 percent) and Chester County (60 percent) and a clear majority in Bucks County (55 percent), unofficial tallies showed.

Panella eked out a win in Montgomery County, taking 50 percent of the vote. As you might expect, he cleaned up in Philadelphia, taking just about 79 percent of the vote. He also carried Allegheny County, Orie Melvin’s wheelhouse, with a shade over 51 percent.

So much the same as we saw in New Jersey. Low Democratic turnout lead to the GOP winning most of the collar counties around Philadelphia. The huge margin in Chester County is no surprise, since it’s still generally considered a Republican County, but Chesco went for Obama in 2008, along with all the other ring counties. Montgomery County is still the weakest for the GOP, but the strong GOP showing of Bucks and Delaware County should be encouraging for Republicans.

What Chris Christie’s Victory Could Mean

Looking at the tallies over in New Jersey, it’s pretty amazing, and should give the Democratic Party some pause. Democrats have been very successful at making gains among middle class suburbanites, and among the very wealthy, especially in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and the West Coast. Most of this was because Bill Clinton captured a lot of the issues those voters cared about from the Republican Party, such as balanced budgets, free trade, and welfare reform. Following up with George W. Bush, who was very successful at continuing to drive suburban Republicans and Independents more into the Democratic camp, made the situation even worse. That might be changing based on the numbers I’ve seen. Let’s look at some of the counties in New Jersey:

  • Bergen County: Borders New York City. Ought to be a blowout for Corzine. Corzine wins, but only by 2.2% points. Obama took this county by 9 points in 2008.
  • Middlesex County: Located in Northeast New Jersey. Christie took this county by 3.7% points. In 2008, Obama took this county by 21 percentage points.
  • Somerset County: Located just west of Middlesex Co. Christie won by 22 percentage points. Obama took this county in 2009 by 7 points.
  • Mercer County: Richest county in the state, located adjacent to Bucks County, PA in central New Jersey. Contains Trenton and Princeton. Corzine still won, but only by 16%. Obama took Mercer County by an amazing 37 points.
  • Monmonth County: Located in central New Jersey, along the shore. Contains Asbury Park. Christie won by 31 points. This county did go for McCain in 2008, but only by 3 percentage points.
  • Burlington County: Across from Philadelphia, largely a suburb of Philadelphia. Chris Christie took it by 2.6 percentage points. In 2008, Obama took this county by 19 points.
  • Camden County: Across from Philadelphia. Home to the scenic City of Camden. Corzine won this county by 14 points, but Obama won it by 37 points.
  • Gloucester County: South Jersey. Across from Delaware County, PA, and New Castle County, DE. Christie took it by 3.4 percentage points despite Obama winning by 13 points.
  • Salem County: Across from Delaware, South Jersey. Christie by 6.5%. Obama took Salem County by 4 points.
  • Atlantic County: Along the South Jersey shore, north of Cape May County. Historically regarded as a Republican County, Obama managed to take it by a surprising margin of 15 points, but Christie won it by 3.5 points.

Looking at vote totals, this is almost entirely a story of Democratic voters just not showing up to the polls. Considering how much capital Obama and the Dems dumped into saving Corzine, and how much money Corzine spent on this race, it is not at all good news for Democrats to have lost so much ground. Combine this with Republican showings in the ring counties around Philadelphia just across the river, and it spells out of a story of GOP voters, and Independent voters who lean GOP being far more motivated to show up to the polls. In New Jersey, the counties where Democrats lost the most are just the type of middle class suburban counties that Democrats have made significant gains with. The erosion of support in very wealthy counties like Mercer show that Democrats need to be worried about their support among the rich too, even though they were still able to win there. That might not be the case in wealthy counties that aren’t as strongly blue.

Next we’ll take a look at how the GOP fared in the Philadelphia ring counties.

Bradys Spin as Predicted

A few days ago I said:

Now when NRA candidates in Virginia win in a landslide, Brady will no doubt claim it’s because of other issues.

Right on cue:

For better or worse, guns didn’t play a prominent role in the outcomes of any of the four high-profile races yesterday — Virginia Governor, New York-23, New Jersey Governor, and New York City Mayor.  By almost all accounts, the bad economy and high unemployment were the key ballot-box issues.

The thing is they are right, largely. The gun vote is only a component of McDonnell’s landslide victory, and Christie certainly isn’t our guy, but nor is he a sworn opponent to our point of view. I said the same thing about the 2008 election, and its funny to see Brady using my spin only a year later. But there’s a difference.

We can at least point to some evidence that we can affect elections to a large degree on the margins. Where is the Brady equivalent? What is the Brady margin? No single issue group can swing an election under all circumstances, but we at least have some idea what our margin is.

UPDATE: I suppose I should thank Doug, or whoever is doing the Brady Blog these days, for the link. We’ll have to see how much traffic a Brady link drives these days. Good thing I performance turned my server. I await the hordes to arrive!

Good Night for the Second Amendment

Another good night for the Second Amendment, according to Dave Kopel. This is considering higher profile races, where we did indeed succeed. Bitter is currently researching, and will be posting later, how MAIG mayors faired in the elections. NRA did not get involved in mayoral races in Pennsylvania, but by now gun owners are aware, and while we got rid of a lot of MAIG mayors, not all of them we got rid of in head-to-head races. I will let Bitter give you the more informed view of our ongoing battle against MAIG.

One good thing about last night, Bloomberg paid something like $180 dollars for every vote he got, and he didn’t win by a huge margin. If Bloomberg has to keep dumping this kind of money into getting re-elected, we have to wonder how long it will be before he doesn’t have any money left over for MAIG!

Hey, Obama & Pelosi

Middle Finger

I get no points for class or maturity, I know. But I think a little gloating every now and then is good for our Republic, and considering how much work I put into the 2008 election, only to suffer loss and discouragement, I get to gloat over this.

GOP sweep in a landslide in Virginia, and Corzine is out, and by a lot more than anyone thought. Apparently in New Jersey, we also turned a few Assembly seats, including one in Fred “One-Gun-A-Month” Madden’s district. It’s an awful repudiation of Obama and Pelosi’s agenda, and when combined with the New York Mayors race, which was far closer than anyone thought, shows that beating on the gun control drum doesn’t really help you much.

If Blue Dogs aren’t crapping their pants yet, they ought to be. The 2010 elections are only a year away, and Corzine’s defeat by nearly 5 points shows that Obama can’t be counted on to save you, even in a very blue state!

On Establishments That Post

Kevin got a reply back from the establishment that prohibited carry in Arizona, which basically revealed the proprietor isn’t the biggest fan of ordinary citizens carrying guns around. That’s making me wonder if there might be a technique that would be more effective for gun owners to try. I live six miles outside of a major city who’s culture and population are not too friendly to the idea either, but I’ve only ever into one place that’s got a sign. I think the reason establishments aren’t quick to post signs is twofold, one is that most of the guns walking around this area are out of sight, meaning businesses and proprietors aren’t really all that aware people are walking around with guns. Two is that they don’t want to risk the signal that their establishment is that kind of place. It’s to the latter that this idea is geared. Let me give you a hypothetical conversation or e-mail:

You: I notice the no guns sign outside. What kind of place is this? Do I have to be worried this is the kind of establishment people want to bring guns to?

Them: Oh no, it’s perfectly fine. There was a chance in state law, and we have to put that there to keep people with guns out.

You: It makes me uncomfortable that you think you have to put a sign up like that. What does it say about the kind of place? They don’t have a sign up at <pick your own competitor here>, maybe that’s a safer place.

Now they will likely try to explain it away, but they will wonder how many customers think the same thing and don’t say anything. Maybe I’m totally nuts here, but I’m suggesting that based on the fact that someone putting up a sign likely isn’t really likely to budge on the issue in terms of philosophy, unless a lot of gun owners complain. Probably not enough will to make a difference.

But if you can make the manager fear that the no guns sign is making customers wonder if their business is kind of a rough place, or that the sign is reflecting poorly on their business, they might rethink it. Obviously that’s not a prescription for every circumstance, but I have to wonder if that could work on some proprietors who aren’t going to be persuaded by pro-gun arguments.

Don’t Forget Your NRA Endorsed Candidates in PA

Superior Court Judge:

Commonwealth Court:

If you know nothing else about them, and let’s face it, you probably don’t, you at least know that they are endorsed by the NRA.