Much is being made of this poll, showing 55% of Arizonans want gun laws to be more strict. Any time you see someone touting a poll, you have to look at specifics, because in most cases someone is trying to pull a fast one. The question in question is the following:
In general do you think Arizona should have stricter laws concerning who can buy guns or not?
That’s pretty non-specific, so the polling results aren’t something I’d worry about regardless. It’s not a loaded question, like the one’s MAIG asks, but it’s pretty non-specific. Crosstabs also show that 81% of Democrats answering in the affirmative is what drove the majority results. Republicans flipped, with 55% opposing, and support among independents did not top 50%.
Also, I note the poll would seem to have oversampled women. Women were 55% of this survey, whereas census shows that Arizona is a hair under 50% on women. Women may be overrepresented on voter roles, however. But in the crosstabs, women were more likely to support gun control than men by a fairly wide margin. Support among men was only 43% with 50% opposing, whereas 65% of women support and 28% do not.
But the point is, look carefully at poll results. I would also note the margin of error here is +/- 4%.