Just One Man vs the Entire NRA

You know what’s always fun in politics? A little class warfare. Okay, it’s not really fun, but it does work for quite a few low information voters.

And while NRA could only afford to spend about $5.72 per member on lobbying, PAC spending & contributions, and direct campaign contributions during the last campaign cycle, Mike Bloomberg spent nearly $26 million himself. If you do much in the way of trying to motivate voters who aren’t the most active, that’s a great little fact to drop.

Don’t Forget About the Recall Elections in Colorado

They are tomorrow. Charles Cooke has a pretty good article about the recall efforts, and Jim Geraghty notes that Giron has enlisted some grassroots help of her own. Everyone who cares about Second Amendment rights in those districts need to get out to the polls. There’s absolutely no excuse for staying home.

Anti-Gun Group Funding

Jacob notes that NYAGV funding has been drying up. It’ll be very interesting to see the effect of the Obama gun control push on funding for anti-gun groups. Prior to this year, it’s been considered a losing issue for Democrats, but now that the President is behind it, and after Sandy Hook, it’s fashionable to be anti-gun again. Of course, MAIG is funding mostly by Bloomberg and taxpayers, so whatever happens to other groups doesn’t change the dynamics much. But I suspect other groups are doing better with money now. Having a President behind you on an issue is a huge deal.

On The Right to Bear Arms

Writes Joseph J. Ellis, in the Los Angeles Times:

The 2nd Amendment represented Madison’s attempt to respond to the fears of a standing army by assuring that national defense would reside in the states and in militias, not at the federal level in a professional army. The right to bear arms derived from the need to assure that state militia could perform its essential mission.

All this was what constitutional scholars call “settled law” until Heller, in which the high court ruled that the right to bear arms, despite the language of the 2nd Amendment and the historical context of its creation, existed independent of service in the militia.

I guess he missed the years of Second Amendment scholarship which generally convinced most of the legal academy that the “settled law” was anything but. Actually, Second Amendment law was far from settled in terms of collective rights. This article is full of ignorance on a great many topics, including the fact that “original intent” originalism has largely fallen out of fashion and has few supporters these days even among ardent originalists.

But even Scalia, fully aware of the legal precedents he was overturning, saw fit to insert the following caveats near the end of his opinion.

What legal precedents? Heller and McDonald have overturned nothing. Miller, in fact, is still valid case law because it was never the collective rights case that people imagined it to be.

Colorado Recall Elections Under Way

If you’re in one of the Colorado districts, or you’re nearby and have been on the ground locally, then please let us know what you’re seeing. Those of us in other Bloomberg target states are watching to see how this plays out.

On one hand, high turnout of actual voters to the polls seems like a good sign for us since that indicates a particular motivation. So, yay!

On the other hand, there are already people asking questions about sketchy ballot drop-offs that they claim aren’t right.

I don’t know enough about the details that were actually decided on for this election since it seems like every little aspect has been litigated and often decided from the bench or on a whim to know whether the claims in the video are truly a concern or not. Hopefully, it’s nothing. But it does go to show that people from both sides will likely be all over this race to squeeze out every single vote.

Pennsylvania Politics Gets Worse for Gun Owners

If you’re a gun owner in Pennsylvania, you need to be worried about 2014. You need to be very, very worried. Gov. Tom Corbett was amazing about putting down all talk of getting Pennsylvania to pass more gun control back in December that would bring us closer to the nightmares of neighbors New York and New Jersey. But his poll numbers are in the toilet, and the Democrats smell lots of blood in the water.

That wouldn’t be the end of the world if we had a serious pro-gun Democratic candidate, but we don’t.

Today comes news that a Bloomberg ally currently serving with MAIG has taken the legal steps to announce a run for governor. So far, every MAIG mayor in Pennsylvania who has tried running for higher office has lost. However, that doesn’t mean that trend will continue. I mean it was the supposedly pro-gun middle of the state that really ran up the numbers for Attorney General Kathleen Kane who has been doing everything she can to screw with reciprocity agreements for concealed carry. She also refuses to back any pro-Second Amendment briefs on federal cases.

However, the other issue is that the alternatives aren’t looking good, either. The leading candidate is F-rated Rep. Allyson Schwartz. There is no gun control idea she hasn’t backed – banning many semi-autos, effectively closing down gun shows, magazine bans, mandating “smart guns” that don’t exist – you name it, she’s backed it. She has no apologies for these positions, and she thinks she can win Pennsylvania on such a platform. She might be right.

Some other names in the running include Katie McGinty who is reportedly running on a “tighter gun control” platform, and Tom Wolf who is a possible slight improvement running on only “some gun control.”

The sad part is seeing just how much the Pennsylvania media will do to try and cover up any extreme positions on this subject so that it can never be a controversy. In 2010, a major local political news site at the time reported that the Democratic gubernatorial candidate was on the “right flank” of the party on guns and supported gun rights. A look at his policy proposals actually showed he was more extreme than even many F-rated lawmakers out of Philly.

It’s up to gun owners to spread the word about these candidates. Unfortunately, I’m not sure they are that excited to do it over the course of the next 14 months. Too many times, we hear people who don’t take the threat seriously because the GOP holds the House and Senate, too. Unfortunately, when we are losing seats in these chambers, they tend to flip from A to F-rated. When the switch is finally flipped in Pennsylvania, there’s a very good chance that the transition to New York & New Jersey-style laws will not be gradual. It could happen very quickly.

Gentlemen’s Weapons Only Please

A California court rules that there’s no Second Amendment protection for someone carrying a “billy.” In this case a baseball bat with a hole hollowed out and a bolt put through it, presumably for bashing in skulls with greater ease than one can accomplish with hickory alone.

Instead, it appears to us to be a weapon which, by its very nature, increases the risk of violence in any given situation, is a classic instrument of violence, and has a home-made criminal and improper purpose. Likewise, it appears to be the type of tool that a brawl fighter or a cowardly assassin would resort to using, designed for silent attacks, not a weapon that would commonly be used by a good citizen.

This strain of thinking has a long history among the courts in interpreting the right to keep and bear arms. There’s always been a strong bias against the types of weapons you might find wielded by the lower classes.

The Continuing War on Gun Owners

According to the Washington Times, the DC police have a policy to arrest individuals with empty shell casings:

Under the law, live or empty brass and plastic casings must be carried in a special container and unavailable to drivers. Having one, for example, in a cup holder or ash tray is illegal.

She told Secrets that the police are “under orders to arrest tourists or other legal gun owners from out of state who wouldn’t think to empty brass and plastic from their cars or pockets.”

I haven’t been doing much shooting these days, but at one of my past jobs our usually hapless facilities guy found an empty 9mm casing in the parking lot and proceeded to overreact to impress our management about how on top of things he really was. They proceeded to overreact and call police, who told them it was no big deal and not to worry about it. Convinced someone was shooting at the geese outside, or plotting to shoot the place up (because whack jobs always put an empty shell casing in the parking lot as a warning) they got the landlord to agree to e-mailing other tenants to look for suspicious activity.

I just kept my mouth shut and let them comically overreact to this, despite the fact I was fairly certain it came from me, because I had been shooting the day before. My guess is the brass ended up in my pocket, and came out when I took out my keys to open the car. Had it been the later management team, I would have just told them as much and it all would have ended there. People who aren’t shooters don’t realize the weird places shell casings end up when you’re shooting. Most of them knew I was a shooter, and there were at least four other people in the company who were too, but it never occurred to anyone involved in that sad affair that maybe it was just a loose shell casing that fell out of someone’s car or pocket.

It shows how politicians and anti-gunners can use the ignorance of others to slip something like this by without a lot of people realizing how deep into police state territory policy like this really goes.

NRA to Files Amicus Brief in ACLU Lawsuit

Reuters is reporting that NRA is joining an ACLU suit against the Obama Administration over NSA surveillance, and being welcomed by the ACLU. You can find NRA’s amicus brief here. From the brief:

The mass surveillance program could allow identification of NRA members, supporters, potential members, and other persons with whom the NRA communicates, potentially chilling their willingness to communicate with the NRA.

Perhaps they know our people a bit too well.

The Supreme Court made clear in NAACP that it had long “recognized the vital relationship between freedom to associate and privacy in one’s associations.” NAACP, 357 U.S. at 462. Because of that relationship, the “compelled disclosure of affiliation with groups engaged in advocacy may constitute as effective a restraint on freedom of association” as the regulation of lobbying activities or the discriminatory taxation of certain newspapers. Id. Compulsory disclosure is unconstitutional where groups show that disclosure subjects their members to “manifestations of public hostility,” which would “affect adversely the ability of [groups and their] members to pursue their collective effort to foster beliefs which they admittedly have the right to advocate,” because the intrusion on privacy “may induce members to withdraw … and dissuade.

We’ve worked enough gun shows to know there’s a lot of guys who don’t do anything public as a gun owner for fear of identifying themselves as such and ending up on “a list.” That attitude tends to annoy me, but it’s out there, and is not as rare as I wish it were.

Admittedly, some post-NAACP cases have been more deferential to government, focusing on the language in NAACP noting members’ exposure “to economic reprisal, loss of employment, threat of physical coercion, and other manifestations of public hostility” and requiring evidence of such harm to strike down disclosure regimes. See, e.g., McIntyre v. Ohio, 514 U.S. 334, 379 (1995); Buckley v. Valeo, 424 U.S. 1, 69 (1976).

But the NRA and its members have certainly been subjected to “public hostility,” from the highest levels of government as well as from the media and other prominent elements of society. Individuals who are concerned about government monitoring of their communications might well avoid seeking information from a group that has been accused by the President of the United States of “spreading untruths,” and by the President’s press secretary of “repugnant and cowardly” advertising. See Obama’s Remarks After Senate Gun Votes, The New York Times, April 17, 2013; Michael D. Shear, White House Denounces Web Video by N.R.A., The New York Times, January 16, 2013. They might also be concerned about associating with a group of which the Vice-President of the National Education Association has said, “[t]hese guys are going to hell,” or which a journalism professor has accused of committing “treason … worthy of the firing squad.”

At root, I’m wondering if NRA’s concern is the Obama Administration using what they find to punish political enemies (namely NRA, it’s members and its employees). Before, I would have said that was crazy talk, but these days, quite sadly, it is not.

Each of these programs standing on its own could provide the government with an extraordinary amount of information about those who communicate with the NRA for any reason. Under the programs revealed so far, the government may already possess information about everyone who has called the NRA by phone, e-mailed the NRA, or visited the NRA’s website. Conversely, the same programs would also gather information on potential members or donors contacted by phone or e-mail for NRA membership recruitment or fundraising programs, or for legislative or political reasons such as the transmission of legislative alerts or get-out-the-vote messages. The programs could also reveal at least the outlines of research and advocacy activities undertaken by NRA staff members, such as the websites visited in the course of legislative analysis or the identities of legislative staff members contacted by e-mail. At the outer extreme, a location tracking program could reveal the identity of every mobile phone user who visits the NRA’s headquarters—whether for a political or legislative event, or simply to use the NRA’s shooting range or visit its National Firearms Museum. Similarly, location-tracking surveillance could reveal the travels of NRA staff members to engage in legislative meetings, political events, or other activities protected by the First Amendment. Any of these forms of tracking could easily reduce individuals’ desire to interact with the NRA.

Personally, my reaction would be the opposite. If I knew Barry was watching, I’d be pleased to head down to NRA HQ and walk out a nice “F you” pattern. But this is by far not the only concern. The whole brief is worth reading, if you’re interested. The brief also notes, “The government’s interpretation of Section 215 would nullify statutory protections against centralization of gun ownership records.” Read the whole thing.

 

For Those in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

NASA is going to be launching a pretty impressive rocket on Friday for launching out of the Wallops facility in Virginia. It is the LADEE mission. See here. Should be a good view for those of us in the Mid-Atlantic states. See this view of what it will look like from the observation deck of the Empire State Building. Normally they launch sounding rockets out of the Wallops facility, but the Minotaur V is capable of delivering 960lbs on a trans-lunar trajectory, which is what it will be doing in this case. We normally don’t get to see this kind of thing up our way. Views should be great from the Jersey, Delaware or Maryland shores.