SayUncle is doing a bang up job covering it. As news goes, I’ve gotten tired of covering these things. One thing I will say, however, is people might be surprised that a guy could get away from this on an army base, not realizing that army bases are gun free zones. Soldiers are not permitted to have guns outside of training exercises. We trust our soldiers to protect our freedom, but do not trust them to protect their own lives. I can’t think of anything else that’s more disrespectful to their sacrifice and service than a military that is afraid of its own soldiers with guns. This should change, but I doubt you’ll see our Commander-in-Chief issuing the orders.
Year: 2009
Getting Ahead of Ourselves
Cemetery reports that some Garden State Gunnies are getting all excited about the prospects of CCW since the election of Chris Christie. Three words, “ain’t gonna happen.” The fact of the matter is, no matter what Steve Lonegan told New Jersey gun owners in the primary, there is no support in the Assembly or Senate to pass a shall-issue bill. Gun owners would be mistaken to look towards Chris Christie as their savior, or knight in shining armor. He’s not. He is your star goalie. His job is merely to keep the opposing team from scoring goals until you can get your team back in the game. It is not realistic to expect anything more from him.
In short, there’s a lot of work to do in the Garden State. You got rid of one anti-gun Assemblyman in Fred Madden’s district and replaced him with a pro-gunner. You have to keep doing that, until you have the votes to expect more from Chris Christie. Until then, you can’t expect him to put his political capital on the line for a fight he’s not going to win. Understand what Christie is. Understand his role. And work on getting your team back in the game.
Massachusetts Trigger Lock Provision Oral Arguments
“They went out of their way to say that the … decision was not invalidating laws that were enacted to prevent accidents and that such regulations were presumptively lawful,” Lillios told the state Supreme Judicial Court in oral arguments.
Except that held directly in the case was that DC’s trigger lock provision was unconstitutional. Massachusetts is slightly different, in that a trigger lock is required if the firearms out of the direct control of the licensee, but is not absolutely required. Still, there’s a good case to be made that Heller applies.
Government Healthcare
Just remember when the government wants to control your healthcare what hoops we now have to jump through to treat a freakin’ cold.
As recently as my college years, I was able to go buy a few pills to pop to ease congestion without dealing with people – except for the cashier. Today, I passed on any pill because I didn’t want to deal with people. (Thanks to self-checkout, dealing with people while sick is entirely optional now.) I also can’t easily see what’s actually in stock since all of the boxes are out of my sight.
Instead, I picked up some cough syrup recommended by my mom who has the same symptoms. Little did I know that even just buying cough syrup that is out on the shelf and going through the self-checkout, I would still have to interact with a cashier. Apparently cough syrup is now age-restricted. Yes, I had to show ID to buy cough syrup.
This is over-the-counter crap that I just want to ease my symptoms, and now government ID is required to buy it. But under Pelosi’s ideal healthcare bill, no such ID would be required to get public healthcare.
How long will it be before I have to show ID to buy my Puffs Plus with Lotion so I don’t have such a raw nose?
Playing the Odds
MikeB wonders why people who carry guns don’t also take protective measures against being killed by falling meteors. An interesting question, but probably the wrong analogy. The odds of a person being killed by a falling meteorite are astronomically small. Best estimates of lifetime risk of being killed by meteorite impact is 1 in 700,000.
By contrast the violent crime rate in the us is currently 450 per 100,000 per year. Presuming that’s entirely random (it isn’t, far from it, actually, but let’s just assume it is for now) that’s a total lifetime probability of nearly 40% of being the victim of a violent crime. I don’t have UCR statistics for how much violent crime is stranger on stranger crime, but I do have that for murder, and about 15% of murder is stranger on stranger. Extrapolating the data for violent crime, we have a total lifetime probability of 5.3%. Now, if you adjust for other things, you can probably get that down to under 1% for people who live in very safe areas. But keep in mind, in society we also protect against other very low probability events.
For instance, your odds of being killed by a terrorists are actually lower than being killed by a meteor, yet we take great measures to prevent terrorism. Odds of dying in an automobile accident are only about 1.4% over a lifetime, yet it’s mandatory in all but a few states to wear one’s seatbelt, and we spend billions each year on making cars safer. The total lifetime odds of dying in a fire are only about 0.09%, yet we say it’s irresponsible not to have smoke detectors in the home, and most people agree it’s sensible to keep one in your automobile. The odds of being killed by amusement rides is about the same as a meteor, statistically, yet amusement rides are typically subject to fairly rigorous inspection requirements for safety.
What MikeB fails to understand is that these aren’t really games of just odds. We believe in spending a lot on automobile safety, amusement safety, smoke detectors, fire extinguishers, fences around pools, and the like, because the safety we enjoy is almost entirely the creation of many of these things our society has put into place to create that environment. Remove those things, and the relative danger goes back up.
In the context of guns, this brings us back around to the heart of the debate: does the presence of firearms in society make that society safer, or more dangerous? Those of us who believe in relatively liberal gun laws believe their presence makes society safer, on the whole. Those who believe it makes society more dangerous, naturally they want to take guns out of the society. So we’re back to where we started. And odds argument isn’t going to carry any weight, because on these things, we don’t play odds.
A Coalition I Can Believe In
Megan McArdle talks about how Republicans need to keep its coalition together:
As long as social issues dominate the Republican Party, they will continue losing their north–I had a lot of relatives who at least considered voting for Obama. Ironically, I wonder if the tea parties won’t help bring the two wings of the Republican party together: guns and lower government spending are the two things all members can agree on. But if the south wants to keep its northern Republicans–and the congressional seats that come with them–it’s going to have to back off trying to make the northern party look like a miniature version of itself.
Having grown up in a heavily Republican political culture in the northeast, she’s right about this. The great genius of Bill Clinton was the realization that by capturing a few important Republican economic issues, and making the switch to fighting culture wars, he could split the Republican Party by wedging apart the coalition. A lot of people in my area, including me, chose to become independent voters in the late 90s, early 00s because we did not like the direction the Republican Party was headed in. George W. Bush only made it worse. That drove a lot of people to the Democratic Camp.
Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi, by running the country far to the left on economic issues, may very well be destroying what Bill Clinton accomplished in the 90s, and giving the GOP back their unifying issue.
Shameless Revenue Generating
Baltimore is creating school zones out of thin air in order to install traffic cameras to raise revenue for the cash strapped city:
The city’s plan is to take a number of roads that are within the legally required distance to a school but are in areas where children do not regularly walk. Baltimore will install “school zone†signs on these roads for the sole purpose of meeting the legal requirement that the speed cameras be used only in a school zone. The new zones include Charles Street at Lake Avenue, Northern Parkway at Greenspring, Pulaski Highway at Monument Street and Roland Avenue at West Cold Spring.
I agree with this bloggers take on these zones being detrimental to public safety.
Bear Spray Requirement
Means and Ends
In regards to my post from earlier thinking about a novel tactic to use on businesses that post, it brings up the issue of means and ends. Saul Alinsky, the great leftist organizer of the 20th century, had so much to say on means and ends that he wrote a whole chapter in Rules for Radicals about it. Alinsky was certainly not an advocate of any means justifying any end, but that activists who wished to organize for mass power had to think about means and ends in a realistic and pragmatic manner, and whether the means available were worth a specific end. In many cases he was brutal toward those who fretted over means and ends to the degree of paralyzation:
Whenever we think of social change, the question of means and ends arises. The man of action views the issue of means and ends in pragmatic and strategic terms. He has no other problem; he thinks only of his actual resources and the possibilities of various choices of action. He asks of ends only whether they are achievable and worth the cost; of means, only whether they will work. To say that corrupt means corrupt the ends is to believe in the immaculate conception of ends and principles. The real arena is corrupt and bloody. Life is a corrupting process from the time a child learns to play his mother off against his father in the politics of when to go to bed; he who fears corruption fears life.
Alinsky’s examples are difficult, from the options available to those who resisted the Nazis, to our founding fathers in separating from England, to Lincoln’s prosecution of the civil war and the freeing of the slaves, all of which involved an amount of deception and deceit and unscrupulous means. He also relays some of his own experience:
To me ethics is doing what is best for the most. During a conflict with a major corporation I was confronted with a threat of public exposure of a photograph of a motel “Mr. & Mrs.” registration and photographs of my girl and myself. I said, “Go ahead and give it to the press. I think she’s beautiful and I have never claimed to be celibate. Go Ahead!” That ended the threat.
Almost on the heels of this encounter, one of the corporation’s minor executives came to see me. It turned out that he was a secret sympathizer with our side. Pointing to his briefcase, he said “In there is plenty of proof that so and so [leader of the opposition] prefers boys to girls.” I said, “Thanks, but forget it. I don’t fight that way. I don’t want to see it. Goodbye.” He protested, “But they just tried to hang you on that girl.” I replied, “The fact that they fight that way doesn’t mean I have to do it. To me, dragging a person’s private life into this muck is loathsome and nauseous.” He left.
So far, so noble; but, if I had been convinced that the only way we could win was to use it, then without any reservations I would have used it. What was my alternative? To draw myself up into righteous “moral” indignation saying, “I would rather lose than corrupt my principles,” and then go home with my ethical hymen intact? The fact that 40,000 poor would lose their war against hopelessness and despair was just too tragic.
I have never been an advocate of making a political struggle personal, and I believe in offering the anti-gun people dignity and respect, as fellow citizens, provided the same courtesy is paid in return. But I also see Alinsky’s point about ends and means, and it’s important to remember that this is a struggle to hold government and society to the values enshrined in our Bill of Rights against people who want to destroy them. Neither side is going to come out morally clean out of this. Not us, not them.
NRA sending Mary McFate to spy on the Brady Campaign was hardly a paragon of ethics and virtue, but was it the only means available to find out their legislative plans so we could be prepared to counter them? Politics and activism are not an ethical game. It is a dirty, underhanded game. You can not struggle in this arena and come out clean, and at the same time be effective. We must always be searching for novel ideas. Not all of those ideas will be good. Some might even be bad. But the proper frame of argument is whether the tactic will work, and whether the ends are worth it.
Canada Moving Closer to Registry Repeal
It’s passed second reading by a vote of 164 to 137, a margin of 27 votes. As Dave Kopel points out, that means that 20 members of the other party have joined conservatives in voting this way.
This is very positive. Very positive. It’s one of the only other countries turning back gun control currently, and we’ve had a rough time on the international front.