Other considerations to consider when discussing who really won what in regards to HR2640 is what the NRA gains from this politically. It won’t just be the Brady’s who can declare victory. If anything, Brady is more of a loser here.
For one, you have pro-gun guys like Boucher, who are Democrats, and who represents the district Virginia Tech is located in. He’s a good guy on guns, so he’s not going to want to stiff us, but he also needs to be seen as “doing something” in regards to the tragedy. There are a lot of politicians who are in that boat right now. The NRA has now given those folks something that they can take home to their districts and say “We strengthened the federal background check system” to the people who demand action, and can say “The NRA said it was OK because we’re giving people a chance to clear their name let them buy guns again” to their RKBA constituents. Those are a bunch of legislators who, right now, probably feel pretty good about the NRA, and will be a lot more willing to listen the next time NRA comes calling.
From a political point of view, if I were working in NRA federal affairs, I would view this as a good opportunity to build some rapport with certain factions of the Democratic Party, rebuild some old relationships and maybe make some new friends. We’re probably going to be dealing with a Democratic Congress for a while, whether we like it or not. It’s good to have a working coalition that can help the gun rights movement move forward, or at the very least not move backwards. A lot of the moderate dems will really appreciate this deal, and that’s something to build on. Politics is very much an “I’ll scratch your back today, if you’ll help scratch my back tomorrow” game. It sucks that we have to do this with our constitutional rights, but it’s the game we’re stuck playing for now.