Category: Politics

Fred is apparently surging in Iowa.

Predicting the top three in Iowa.  Anyone falling under this is out of the race:

Democrats:

1. Hillary
2. Obama
3. Edwards

Reason for Hilly is that she does well among older demographics, who are going to be the ones showing up to the caucuses.  Young people have jobs, families, and don’t have time for that crap.  Hilly walks away with it.

Republicans:

1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. John McCain

Expect old people to screw us here too.  They’ll like the big government preacher in Iowa.   Romney will be a close second.  I think McCain will do better than predicted.

According to Jacob, they’re increasing their efforts on behalf of Richardson in Iowa.  Good.

Makes me think perhaps they should just try buying people’s vote outright.

With polls showing John McCain coming back strongly in New Hampshire, and me looking at a distinct possibility of Huckabee pulling a win out of Iowa, and with my preferred candidate Fred Thompson not looking good at all, I’m prepared to bury the hatchet with the whole idea of McCain and get behind him by the time Pennsylvania’s primary rolls around.   Compared to my other choices, McCain isn’t looking too bad.

That says a lot about my other choices, none of it good.

Eric notices she’s not doing too well among the young.  Looks like she does best with the over 55 crowd.  She would also appear to not be a college educated person’s type of liberal.

My theory on this is that younger, better educated people aren’t enamored with the whole idea of a woman president.  To our generation, the idea that a woman could be president isn’t very revolutionary; we expect it will happen, and the idea isn’t novel. Aging women, who didn’t grow up with full societal acceptance of women in positions of power, really want to see a woman president in their lifetime, and Hillary is their gal.

According to this AP article, Hillary Clinton doesn’t want the media talking to her kid:

But onstage, Chelsea never speaks; she stands next to her mother and applauds but utters not a single sentence and doesn’t even say hello. And reporters covering the campaign have been put on notice that Chelsea is not available to speak to them. An aide follows the former first daughter as she works the crowd, shushing reporters who approach her and try to ask any questions.

Seems kind of odd to me to have your child show up and campaign for you to just be a pretty face.