Hope and Change Visualized

First, we had hope, and it looked like this:

Last night the voters of the Philadelphia Suburbs voted for change:

This looks more like the map I grew up with. I would note that each of those blue going red districts was an anti-gun Democrat being replaced by a pro-gun Republican. In addition, the Republican seats we held in the suburbs are solid. Allyson Schwartz, who’s district includes Philadelphia and heads out into Montgomery County, is the only gun hater left in the Philly suburbs. And this is where Bloomberg made his stand, dumped big money, and lost just as big. They tried to make gun control an issue and roundly lost.

UPDATE: That finger of blue coming down out of Berks County in the Northwest corner of this map? That’s Tim Holden’s district. Holden voted against Pelosi every step of the way, ran as a conservative rather than a Democrat, and carried an NRA endorsement. He’s a DINO.

North Carolina Victories

John Richardson points out that in the whole NRA v. GRNC dustup, it ended up a draw in terms of who actually won, but the important thing is that the North Carolina General Assembly and Senate are now in Republican hands. Hopefully this means when NRA goes back to Charlotte, we can actually carry.

Illinois Guv Race Close

Thirdpower reports on the Illinois results. It’s too close to call between Bill Brady and Pat Quinn. If we win this, we might get concealed carry and preemption in Illinois. My understanding is this will fix Chicago’s gun laws. Keep your fingers crossed. We could set gun control back a decade with this win.

Advice to Tenneesse Gunnies They Probably Don’t Need

Bill Haslam won. and won big, despite the dustup over his announced support for Constitutional Carry. Whether that was a publicity stunt or not, he has opened the door. His landslide win over Democratic Challenger McWherter brings a lot of electoral credibility to Constitutional Carry in Tennessee. It needs to be pushed, and pushed big, because it would be a huge boost to the movement. Hell, it could be the point where we can say Constitutional Carry is a movement, and not just a peculiar feature of three overwhelmingly pro-gun states. Being in the heart of the South, and the first state east of the Mississippi to consider such a measure (Vermont has always been this way), it would be a tremendous win.

Haslam’s landslide is a mandate. Don’t squander it. I’m hoping NRA hears this clearest of all. This doesn’t mean we’ll win, or that it can be done, but I think it should be tried. Make Haslam live up to his word. He opened this door, and I don’t see any reason not to try to walk through it.

PA Gun Owners to Bloomberg: Sit on This and Spin!

Bloomberg’s races have been swept across the board in our favor, and I couldn’t be more pleased. In the district I grew up in, PA-07, Pat Meehan cruised to a very comfortable victory over Bryan Lentz, who actively pushed the gun control agenda. Obviously Tom Corbett creamed Onorato, Dan Onorato, who joined Lentz in pushing a gun control agenda. In the 8th District, we’re finally rid of Patrick “I want to ban your M1” Murphy. He’s replaced with Mike Fitzpatrick, who had a pro-gun voting record in Congress in his single term (2004-2006), and carried an NRA endorsement in 2006 and this election. Pat Toomey managed to squeak by Mr. Gun Control himself, Joe Sestak, despite his foo-foo dog. In the race of a  MAIG Mayor against incumbent Republican Congressman Charlie Dent, Dent beat Callahan roundly. NRA went out in a big way to help Dent, and I’m glad to see it paid off.

Mike Bloomberg floated 500,000 to CeaseFire PA to run anti-gun ads against pro-gun Republicans this election cycle, in the very media market that pro-gun Republicans won big. It did not help the Democrats. Pennsylvania gun owners want you to go home, Mayor Mike. That’s the message. In my local races, we won them all. The only exception being a local state rep race, Rob Ciervo, who’s is so close right now it’s going to lawyers and will end up in a fight over absentee ballots, an issue that’s current very much in contention in Bucks County. I sincerely hope Rob can pull it out still. Rob’s district is a potential pickup for us, and believing our other seats were largely safe, I put as much as I could into that race. Ciervo is a lesson that every vote counts. This could literally come down to a few votes when all is said and done.

If the lesson isn’t that gun control can hurt you, it is at the very least that it can’t save you. I believe Mayor Mike won’t give up, but perhaps he can find more fruitful places to spend his money than Pennsylvania. We’re coming for New York’s gun laws, Mayor Mike. For gun control advocates, this isn’t an offensive action anymor. You better start thinking about a strict defensive policy after this shellacking you’ve been handed in the Keystone State. Gun rights is advancing on all fronts. Whatever victories you might claim now will be little comfort. You’re the struggling redoubt of a dying movement. Best to start acting accordingly.

How to Fix the Financial Crisis

If I were President, and someone were giving me this advice, I’d be extremely wary. Not because I think it’s wrong, but because I don’t really understand it. It sounds great. It sounds like a solution. But do I really understand enough to know what the unintended consequences could be, what the risks are? Probably not. I’d have to seek conflicting opinions, many of which are going to tell me this is a horrible idea, and will backfire spectacularly. Then you have the unresolved issue of what irrational people are going to do when they hear of this plan? Will there be a panic?

I’m pretty sure Barry Obama doesn’t know much more about this stuff than most of us do. In fact, I’d wager he knows less. That’s what scares me. I’m pretty sure the vast majority of Congress also does not know any more than any of us. You have to rely on the experts. But who are the experts? And what if they disagree?

I’ll probably never understand why anyone would want to be President during a financial crisis. I think Obama is probably arrogant enough to think he clearly knew how to handle it. My job is deciphering complex technical systems for a living, and finance is one of those things that makes my brain hurt. I have almost no understanding of it, even when people try to explain it to me. Barry Obama’s best gig to date is reading speeches from a teleprompter. Please tell me we’re not totally screwed?

Hat Tip to Instapundit

Off to the Polls

Posting is going to be light today because after I go vote, I’m heading up to the northern reaches of our Congressional district to poll stand for an NRA endorsed state rep for as long as I can stand it. After that, we’re probably going to be at a watch party for our local State Rep watching the election results come in. This is one election I’m going to be happy is over. The past two years have been, for lack of a better term, completely insane.

If you’re looking for election coverage, I would highly recommend watching Cam Edwards at NRANews, which begins at 9:00, just as the polls should be closing, and the results will be coming in.

Some Clarifications on My Criticism

There’s some clarifications I want to make to some of my assertions in a previous post. I don’t advocate anyone become a single issue voter, if that’s not their inclination. We certainly do have single issue gun voters out there, and I think that’s fine too, but to me what goes on inside the voting booth is not really any of anyone else’s business. My fatalism that perhaps there’s no way to avoid the circular firing squad stems from what people who have a voice in this issue say publicly where the political establishment is watching (and they do watch, even this far off corner of the Internet).

It is a real problem when one group endorses one candidate, and another group endorses another candidate, and is very public about it. It’s going to make the political establishment, who for the most part don’t care about your pet issue (whatever that issue is), question whether your vote is reliable. It essentially destroys the value of both groups endorsements, when they publicly endorse against each other in the same issue. I don’t think that’s a positive thing, but I don’t know whether it’s a solvable problem. If one group stands back and lets the other group marginalize its endorsement, for fear of the metaphorical circular firing squad, there’s a real risk of candidates believing that the group isn’t willing to stand up for its endorsees. If it fights back it’s undermining the other group, and raising the public profile of the argument, and increasing the chance it’s going to be noticed.

I don’t expect everyone is just going to line up behind NRA’s endorsements. Obviously people have issues with them, especially this election, but it’s been my contention that their issues have nothing or next to nothing to do with the Second Amendment. It is my sincere belief that most of these groups which involve themselves in electioneering are taking advantage of the anti-incumbent public mood in an attempt to boost their stature within the conservative movement, and feather their own nests. NRA, at least publicly, has taken the position it’s a Second Amendment advocate only, rather than a conservative advocate. In truth, I think NRA as an organization is deeply conflicted about this as much as the movement is as a whole.

But this may not be an issue after Tuesday. When many blue dog Democrats are swept away, and all that remains is the left, there’s a very good chance that the bipartisan era of the Second Amendment will come to an end. Conservatives will have the NRA back as a conservative organization. The real shame, I think, is that I believe that’s ultimately bad for the Second Amendment.

Right to Hunt

Arizona has a right to hunt ballot initiative in this year’s election. This is really insurance for the future of hunting, and is the main way we’re blocking HSUS from being able to move forward with their agenda. If you live in Arizona, please vote for this ballot initiative.

“Arizona will be seen as weak with regard to hunting and fishing, and I would think it would open the flood gates for the animal rights organizations to start coming in and looking for weak points,” said George Reiners, a Yuma area sport hunter and Prop. 109 proponent.

“One they will definitely try first will be an attempt to ban mountain lion hunting. They’ve already gotten away with that in California. Bear hunting would probably be next and then on down the line. If they ever saw a weakness in dove hunting, they would go after that. They look for the low-hanging fruit and attack there. If they could ban sport hunting, they would do it in a minute.”

HSUS is fighting the initiative by trying to convince hunters that the initiative will politicize hunting in Arizona, which is almost laughable. This guy has done more to politicize hunting than anyone else I can think of.