I don’t understand how a man who may have the record for knocking on the most doors in a Pennsylvania election* can choose to ignore an NRA questionnaire when he’s a Republican running in a district with lots of working class or union middle class Democrats that borders two districts with huge gun clubs and in an area that supports lots of gun shops and even some commercial ranges.
Things we know:
- Kevin Glasson did not respond to any of NRA’s mailings. Â This landed him with a big ? next to his name and resulted in no assistance from NRA in the way of a postcard mailer.
- He lives right next to a district where the now incumbent state rep – who ran a similar uphill campaign in 2008 – actually ran into a man who brought his NRA magazine out of the voting booth and declared that no one with a ? gets his vote.
- *He personally knocked on 13,000+ doors, so he’s definitely got the man of the people thing going for him.
- He’s a firefighter in the community. Â That’s always a good thing in a race like this.
- We already know that Democrats in the area were angry and more than happy to vote against their party. Â It was such a dramatic turnaround that even the NYT covered the shift.
- He only lost by 301 votes.
- Challengers benefit the most from NRA backing.
Of all the types of Democratic demographics in this area (NJ transplants, rich liberals, working class guys, union diehards, etc), his district probably has the most of the type who would be willing to cross over on something like the gun issue. Â By refusing to respond to NRA’s questionnaire, he didn’t even give them a choice between the two candidates. Â Yes, this election is all about the economy and jobs, but there are still folks looking for information on other issues. Â I had at least half a dozen union guys out of Philly and our district call me to tell me they would vote against their union this year and go all GOP. Â They just wanted to make sure their Republican choices were all pro-gun. Â I have to believe there were many more waiting on their NRA magazines to drop to find out about their local races in that district. Â Just imagine what the reaction might have been if it turns out he was actually pro-gun and received an endorsement and orange postcard. Â I wouldn’t be shocked if he could have found the 302 votes he needed that way.
If Glasson had won, it would have been nearly impossible to hold the seat through the next few election cycles. Â However, he would have been in for redistricting votes and hopefully to help us move Castle Doctrine along. Â I don’t want to pretend that the NRA endorsement is the magic bullet that will solve all of your election woes. Â But, in a county where about 20,000 people have licenses to carry, it’s not unreasonable that 300 votes could have been swayed by an NRA grade. Â But, that’s what you get with our local GOP folks. Â This isn’t the first year that Republicans have refused to even communicate with NRA, and it won’t be the last. Â If they are smart, they’ll learn. Â But I’m not sure I give them that much credit.