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The Pennsylvania Problem in 2012

Stuart Rothenberg of Roll Call seems to think the Democrats need to look to states other than Pennsylvania if they want to pick up Congressional seats in 2012. They point out two competitive seats being Jim Gerlach and Mike Fitzpatrick. Both have been made safer with redistricting, but still do not have what anyone would consider “safe” seats. But Gerlach has won consistently in tough years. Fitzpatrick is probably the easier pickup, but I doubt Obama will have much in the way of coattails. Meehan’s seat is actually looking surprisingly safe.

One Response to “The Pennsylvania Problem in 2012”

  1. ern says:

    I expect Gerlach’s margin to increase this time around, but it will probably be in the 5% range–still very tight. Given the political climate, I don’t see a reversal happening here in PA-06.

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