Wayne LaPierre addressed CPAC in Florida this past Friday, (written transcript here) and it’s interesting the references to Kagan as if she’s already a sure vote against us. I realize it’s a bit of a long shot that she’s going to vote with us, but you don’t really know what issue will next hit the Court, and you don’t know under what circumstances. On the off chance she might actually side with us, I think writing the history on her before she has a chance to post a vote might not be the wisest move.
And even then, I think a smart argument could be made that it’s not a good idea to lambast any sitting Supreme Court justice if you’re in the process of moving multiple cases that could possibly go before the high Court. But that said, NRA has to get their members thinking about the Supreme Court when they go into the voting booth in November 2012. We have to weigh the remote chance that Kagan will vote with us, against the very real possibility Obama gets to replace one of the Heller five, if re-elected. Gun owners need to realize we’re one justice away from the Second Amendment being read clean out of the constitution, so I suspect that’s why Wayne is erring on the side of driving that particular point home.